Predictions About Global Energy Efficiency Since the 1980s Have Been Wildly Conservative

By [email protected] Pointing out the chronic underprediction of clean energy growth rates has become something of a sport in analyst circles.

The International Energy Agency and Energy Information Agency take most of the heat from critics. Throughout the last decade, the two influential organizations have faced growing criticism for their conservative projections on wind and solar growth.

Skip Laitner, a renowned energy-efficiency expert, is the latest to weigh in. Turns out, efficiency is also wildly underestimated.

After reviewing dozens of scenarios for growth in global primary energy consumption and comparing them to actual consumption, Laitner found a widening gap between past assumptions and current

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